|
Gold is respected worldwide for its
value-keeping ability and have for thousands of
years played a role in most of the world's greatest
cultures
Gold has for centuries been a
safeguard against an uncertain world, falling
currencies and volatile equity and property markets.
Since gold also has a tendency to fluctuate
otherwise the prices of many other asset classes, it
is an effective way to create a diversified
portfolio
In the following we discuss a variety
of good reasons to buy gold |
 |
|
Historical bubbles
Upturn
after the crisis
Investment strategies
|
-
Historical value preservation
Unlike securities, real estate, currency, stocks and other
assets, gold has retained its value through the generations.
Many look to gold as a way to carry over and preserve their
wealth from one generation to the next
-
A challenged U. S. Dollar
During periods when the dollar is weak and falls against other
currencies, investors flock around the safety of gold, which
means that the gold price rises. The price of gold was thus
between 1998 and 2008 nearly tripled, reaching the $ 1,000 per.
ounce milestone in early 2008. The decline in the U.S. dollar
happened for various reasons, including its large budget and
trade deficits and a large increase in money supply
-
Inflation Gold has
historically been an excellent hedge against inflation because
the price tends to rise when the cost of living increases. Since
the Second World War the five years where the U.S. inflation
rate was highest was in 1946, 1974, 1975, 1979 and 1980. In
these five years, the average real return on the Dow Jones
Industrial Average -12.33%, compared to 130.4% for gold
-
Deflation Deflation, a period
when prices fall, economic activity decreases and the economy is
burdened by excessive debt, has not been seen worldwide since
the great depression of the 1930s. During that time, the
relative purchasing power of gold increased , while other prices
fell sharply. If we due to the current credit crisis will
experience a period of deflation is not yet clear, but gold can
in that case turn out to be a good hedge
-
Geopolitical uncertainty Gold
tends to retain its value, not only in times of economic
uncertainty, but also in times of geopolitical uncertainty. Gold
is often called "the crisis commodity" because people are
fleeing to the relative safety when world tensions increase. In
such times, gold is often more effective than other investments.
For example, gold prices have seen some of their biggest recent
movements in periods of tension with Iran and Iraq in 2007 and
2008. The price rises are often seen when confidence in
government is low
-
The supply question Much of
the supply of gold in the market since the 1990s has come from
sales by the central banks' gold deposits. These sales from
central banks has slowed significantly in 2008
Meanwhile, production from gold mining has been declining since
2000. According to BullionVault.com, the annual production from
gold mining declined from 2,573 tonnes in 2000 to 2,444 tonnes
in 2007. It can take from five to 10 years to bring a new mine
into production. The total supply of gold has been falling,
which may be expected to get prices to rise
-
Increasing demand The
increased prosperity in the new emerging markets has increased
private demand for gold. In many of these countries, gold is an
integral part of culture. India is one of the largest gold
consuming nations in the world, and gold has many uses,
including jewelry. Thus, the Indian wedding season in October is
traditionally the time of the year, which sees the largest
global demand for gold. In China, where gold bars are a
traditional form of savings, the demand for gold in recent years
has also been growing rapidly
Demand for gold has also increased among investors, where many
are starting to see commodities, especially gold, as an
attractive investment class
-
Diversification of the investment
portfolio The key to diversification is to find
investments that are not closely correlated. Gold has
historically had a negative correlation to stocks and other
financial instruments. To achieve good risk diversification it
can be an advantage to combine gold with investments in shares,
bonds and commodities in a portfolio to reduce the overall
volatility and risk.
|